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Recent IPCS Commentaries
Articles are short 800-850-word commentaries that provide a more analytical view of issues currently in the news.
#5238, 20 February 2017
Inadequate Budgetary Allotment and India's Defence Preparedness
Brig (Retd) Gurmeet Kanwal recommends the establishment of a roll-on, non-lapsable defence modernisation fund as national security imperative
#5237, 18 February 2017
Forecast 2017: Sri Lanka
Asanga Abeyagoonasekera assesses how Sri Lanka fared in 2016 and makes recommendations for 2017
#5236, 15 February 2017
Spotlight West Asia
India-UAE: An Emerging Special Relationship

Amb (Retd) Ranjit Gupta assesses the trajectory of India-UAE relations and makes recommendations towards taking the bilateral further
#5235, 15 February 2017
The Strategist
Forecast 2017: Carnage Ahead?

Vice Admiral (Retd) Vijay Shankar illustrates why the pulling away from multilateral alliances and the potential for new strategic orientation would appear to be the new norm
#5234, 13 February 2017
The Future of US-Taiwan Relations Under China's Shadow
Namrata Hasija argues that the US-Taiwan relationship under Trump remains uncertain in terms of upgradation but certain in terms of continuation.
#5233, 9 February 2017
US Exit from the TPP: Opportunities and Alternatives for Japan
Chandrali Sarkar argues that the US' exit from the TPP does not necessarily mean trouble for Japan and that Tokyo has other alternatives it can tap to its benefit
#5232, 6 February 2017
East Asia Compass
Forecast 2017: East Asia

Dr Sandip Kumar Mishra identifies phenomena that will become more pronounced in East Asia in 2017
#5231, 3 February 2017
Where is Egypt Headed?
Amb (Retd) KP Fabian traces the trajectory of Egypt's political history and asesses the current state-of-affairs
#5230, 1 February 2017
South Korea: Two Moons and the Future of a Nation
Dr Rahul Raj provides a preliminary assessment on the two potential presidential candidates in the upcoming presidential election in South Korea
#5229, 1 February 2017
IPCS Special Commentary
CPEC: 'Third Party' Dilemma and Cracks in the Corridor

Amit Kumar argues that optimism regarding the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor might be waning, with apprehensions increasingly being voiced in China
#5228, 31 January 2017
India: Acting East after the End of the TPP
Roshan Iyer analyses the status of the RCEP and argues that India's attractive market can be an asset only if it strategically leverages it to its benefit
#5227, 31 January 2017
Red Affairs
Forecast 2017: LWE Still Holding On

Dr Bibhu Prasad Routray notes that although LWE may be ebbing, its survival will be ensured by the state's own follies
#5226, 29 January 2017
IPCS Discussion
'Faith, Unity, Discipline: The ISI of Pakistan'

Sarral Sharma reports on the proceedings of the discussion held on 18 January 2017
#5225, 27 January 2017
Strategic Space
Forecast 2017: Unclear Nuclear Pathways

Dr Manpreet Sethi examines the global nuclear issues that are likely to grab President Trump's attention this year
#5224, 19 January 2017
Spotlight West Asia
West Asia Six Years After the ‘Arab Spring’: Prognosis for 2017

Amb (Retd) Ranjit Gupta assesses the political and security related developments of the past six years, and identifies the trajectories for 2017
#5223, 18 January 2017
US Policy Orientation
Donald Trump's Counter-Terrorism Policy

Angshuman Choudhury & Husanjot Chahal look at why a major tactical shift in US' CT policy, either at home or overseas, cannot be rationally anticipated
#5222, 12 January 2017
India: Crises in Command?
Gp Capt (Retd) Murli Menon assesses the appointment of India's new army chief and makes recommendations for the process of reforms to the personnel policies of the Indian armed forces 
#5221, 10 January 2017
East Asia Compass
Japan-China Contestation in 2017

Dr Sandip Kumar Mishra reviews the Tokyo-Beijing bilateral and identifies the potential trajectory the relationship in 2017
#5220, 9 January 2017
India and Vietnam: Strengthening Bilateral Relations
Amruta Karambelkar reflects on recent high-level visits to India to analyse the nature of bilateral ties
#5219, 6 January 2017
India-Pakistan
Line (Out) of Control?

Joy Mitra argues that risks to general stability in the region remain entrenched in the dynamics of the India-Pakistan conflict and that it could lead to an uncontrollable conflict trajectory
#5218, 3 January 2017
Special Commentary
India’s Nuclear Energy Policy: Bottlenecks to Implementation

Niharika Tagotra argues that India's legislative-regulatory mechanism is inadequate for its ambitious nuclear energy programme
#5217, 3 January 2017
India, Afghanistan and the Heart of Asia: Reading Between the Lines
Sarral Sharma analyses the recent Heart of Asia conference and the implications for Pakistan 
#5216, 31 December 2016
Red Affairs
A Bridge Over River Gurupriya

Dr Bibhu Prasad Routray considers the challenges in the long overdue implementation of a project in an LWE-affected area
#5215, 31 December 2016
The Strategist
Perils of Nuclear Paranoia

Vice Admiral (Retd) Vijay Shankar says that if armed hostilities, for the initiator, has little to do with both conventional and military, it raises the prospect that balance may be skewed against gravity
#5214, 31 December 2016
IPCS Discussion
IPCS-Stimson Center Roundtable on South Asia

Angshuman Choudhury and Roshan Iyer report on the proceedings of the discussion held on 08 December 2016
#5213, 31 December 2016
J&K Focus
The Ominous Calm is both Good and Bad for J&K

Lt Gen (Retd) Syed Ata Hasnain analyses the calm in Kashmir and makes recommendations for the Army and the civilian administration towards bringing stability to the state
#5212, 31 December 2016
US Policy Orientation
Trump and “America First”: The End of the Asia-Pacific Pivot?

Akanksha Narain considers the impact of the president-elect’s foreign policy outlook towards Southeast Asia
#5211, 27 December 2016
Indonesia: Secularism and Domestic Politics
Amb Navrekha Sharma says that recent developments in the country foretell a grim future for its image as a modern, secular and pluralist democracy
#5210, 26 December 2016
Russia’s Search for New Ground in Pakistan
Adarsh Vijay analyses Russia's possible motivations for its increasing engagement with Pakistan
#5209, 26 December 2016
Dateline Colombo
Sri Lankan Foreign Policy: Diaspora and Lobbying

Asanga Abeyagoonasekera argues for a reorientation of the country's external relations in a multipolar world
#5208, 21 December 2016
Strategic Space
Limits of Practising Nuclear Brinksmanship

Dr Manpreet Sethi says that brinksmanship strategies that appear to be working raise the salience of nuclear weapons and increase their attraction for proliferation
#5207, 19 December 2016
US Policy Orientation
Trump and West Asia: Reading the Tea Leaves

Amb (Retd) Ranjit Gupta cautions that if Trump's campaign promises are carried out, it will further inflame and destabilise the region
#5206, 15 December 2016
US Policy Orientation
President Trump's Prospects for the Middle East

Derek Verbakel analyses the implications for the Middle East during the presidency of Donald Trump
#5205, 15 December 2016
Xi as "Core Leader": Re-emergence of Strongman Politics?
Tapan Bhardwaj examines Xi Jingping's power within the Communist Party and the implications of the same 
#5204, 14 December 2016
China's Belt and Road Initiative: Should India be Concerned?
Dr Anand Kumar discusses how the OBOR Initiative in Pakistan and Bangladesh can be advantageous for India
#5203, 12 December 2016
Annihilation of the Marginalised: The New Normal in Myanmar
Dr Bibhu Prasad Routray looks at why asking whether the wretched luck of the Rohingya will ever change is no longer a relevant question
#5202, 12 December 2016
Eagle Eye
Paradigm Shift or Business As Usual: Trump’s China Policy

Prof Chintamani Mahapatra looks at what explains Beijing’s modest response to Trump’s phone conversation with the Taiwanese president
#5201, 12 December 2016
IPCS Discussion
Women & Public Policy Journal [Vol. 2] Launch: 'Afghan Economy in the Decade of Transformation (2015-2024)'

Niharika Tagotra reports on the proceedings of the discussion held on 26 November 2016
#5200, 8 December 2016
Muse Rebel Attacks
Dangers of Myanmar's Two-Faced Peace Process

Angshuman Choudhury analyses the recent violence in Muse and possible implications for peace talks in Myanmar
#5199, 5 December 2016
US Policy Orientation
Donald Trump and East Asia

Dr Sandip Mishra examines the details of Trump’s contradictory campaign promises vis-à-vis the East Asian region
  
IPCS Columnists
Af-Pak Diary

D Suba Chandran
Director, IPCS
Big Picture

Prof Varun Sahni
Professor and Chairperson, CIPOD, SIS, JNU & Member, IPCS Executive Committee
Dateline Colombo

Asanga Abeyagoonasekera
Executive Director, LKIIRSS, Sri Lanka.
Dateline Islamabad

Salma Malik
Assistant professor, Defence and Strategic Studies, Quaid-i-Azam University
Dhaka Discourse

Prof Delwar Hossain
Professor, Department of International Relations, Dhaka University
Eagle Eye

Prof Chintamani Mahapatra
Professor, School of International Studies, JNU
East Asia Compass

Dr Sandip Mishra
Assistant Professor, Department of East Asian Studies, Delhi University
Himalayan Frontier

Pramod Jaiswal
SAARC Doctorate Fellow, Centre for South Asian Studies, JNU
Indo-Pacific

Prof Shankari Sundararaman
Chairperson, Centre for Indo-Pacific Studies, School of International Studies, Jawaharlal Nehru University, New Delhi
Indus-tan

Sushant Sareen
Senior Fellow, Vivekananda International Foundation
Looking East

Wasbir Hussain
Executive Director, CDPS, Guwahati, and Visiting Fellow, IPCS
Maritime Matters

Vijay Sakhuja
Director, National Maritime Foundation (NMF), New Delhi
Nuke Street

Amb Sheelkant Sharma
Former Permanent Representative to UN Office in Vienna & IAEA
Red Affairs

Bibhu Prasad Routray
Director, Mantraya.org, and Visiting Fellow, IPCS
Regional Economy

Amita Batra
Professor of Economics, Centre for South Asian Studies, School of International Studies, JNU, New Delhi
South Asian Dialectic

PR Chari
Former member of the Indian Administrative Service and visiting professor, IPCS
Spotlight West Asia

Amb Ranjit Gupta
Former Member, National Security Advisory Board (NSAB)
Strategic Space

Manpreet Sethi
ICSSR Senior Fellow affiliated with the Centre for Air Power Studies (CAPS)
The Strategist

Vice Admiral Vijay Shankar
Former Commander-in-Chief, Strategic Forces Command of India and Distinguished Fellow IPCS
J&K Focus

Lt Gen Syed Ata Hasnain
Member, Governing Council, IPCS, & former GOC, 15 Corps, Srinagar
 
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