Trilateral India-China-Pakistan Strategic Dialogue: Towards a Stable Nuclear Order in Asia
The IPCS, with support from the Nuclear Threat Initiative, held its second trilateral dialogue between India, China and Pakistan in Fudan University, Shanghai on 8-9 August 2009.
This is the first time, even at Track II level that India, China, and Pakistan met to discuss substantive issues relating to a stable nuclear order in Asia including the possibilities of nuclear weapons elimination. In continuation with the path breaking trilateral dialogue first held in Colombo, Sri Lanka, in December 2008, experts from the three countries continued their deliberations in Shanghai.
The conference participants included prominent strategists, military persons, policymakers and academicians from India, China and Pakistan.
Fudan University, Shanghai
8-9 August 2009
I. Welcome and Introductory Remarks
Maj. Gen. Dipankar Banerjee, Director, IPCS
Prof. Shen Dingli, Director, Centre for American Studies, Fudan University
Lt. Gen. Talat Masood, Former Secretary for Defence Production, Ministry of Defence, Pakistan
II. Global Nuclear Strategic Trends
Issues Discussed
I. An assessment of Global Nuclear Trends as seen from respective countries, including
strategies, doctrines and moves towards disarmament
II. START Prospects
III. CTBT and FMCT: Impending Dialogues and Deliberations
IV: Towards 2010 NPT RevCon
V. The Quartet Proposals, Global Zero and Base Camp
Speakers
Amb. Cheng Ruisheng, Former Chinese Ambassador to India
Maj. Gen. Pan Zhenqiang, Deputy Chairman, China Foundation for International Studies
Brig. Naeem Salik, Former Director, Arms Control and Disarmament Affairs, Strategic Plans Division, Pakistan
Lt. Gen. Talat Masood, Former Secretary for Defence Production, Ministry of Defence, Pakistan
Air Marshal Vinod Patney, Former Vice Chief of Air Staff, Indian Air Force
Amb. Arundhati Ghose, Former Permanent Representative of India to the UN Conference on Disarmament
III. Towards Asian Nuclear Stability and Security
Issues Discussed
I. Assessment of threats and concerns, including from nation states and non-state actors
II. Respective security concerns and doctrines
III. Korean nuclear developments
IV. Iranian nuclear developments
V. Nuclear weapons and terrorism
VI. Nuclear non-proliferation beyond the NPT
Speakers
Air Vice Marshal Shahzad Chaudhry, Former Director General of the Air Force Strategic Command
Amb. KC Singh, Former Secretary, Ministry of External Affairs
Rear. Adm. Raja Menon, Former Chairman, Task Force on Net Assessment and Simulation in the National Security Council
Maj. Gen. Zhu Chenghu, Director-General and Professor, Department of Strategic Studies, National Defence University
Prof. Shen Dingli, Director, Centre for American Studies, Fudan University
IV: Asian Security in the context of Global Trends: Cooperation or Conflict?
Issues Discussed
I. Can Asian way be different? – Avoiding Launch on Warning, Tactical Nuclear Weapons, First
Strike Doctrines
II. Relevance and role of nuclear weapons to Asian Security
III. Harmonizing doctrines for cooperative security
IV. Developing confidence building measures and dialogues
Speakers
Amb. Salman Haidar, Former Foreign Secretary, India
Air Marshal TM Asthana, Former Commanding-in-Chief, Strategic Forces Command
Amb. Najmuddin Shaikh, Former Foreign Secretary, Pakistan
Amb. Shamshad Ahmad Khan, Former Foreign Secretary, Pakistan
Dr. Liu Xuecheng, Executive Vice President, Centre for China-US Relations, China Institute of International Studies
Prof. Zhao Gancheng, Director, South Asia Studies, Shanghai Institutes for International Studies
V: Steps towards a Secure Global Nuclear Future
Issues Discussed
I. An Asian approach to abolishing nuclear weapons – What is the tipping point?
II. A nuclear weapons free world, in what time frame?
III. Conventional forces reduction?
IV. Evolving dialogue mechanism and policies
Speakers
Each participant presented his/her views
VI: Concluding Session
Prof. Shen Dingli, Director, Centre for American Studies, Fudan University
Lt. Gen. Talat Masood, Former Secretary for Defence Production, Ministry of Defence, Pakistan
Maj. Gen. Dipankar Banerjee, Director, IPCS