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Trilateral India-China-Pakistan Strategic Dialogue: Towards a Stable Nuclear Order in Asia

The IPCS, with support from the Nuclear Threat Initiative, held its second trilateral dialogue between India, China and Pakistan in Fudan University, Shanghai on 8-9 August 2009.

This is the first time, even at Track II level that India, China, and Pakistan met to discuss substantive issues relating to a stable nuclear order in Asia including the possibilities of nuclear weapons elimination. In continuation with the path breaking trilateral dialogue first held in Colombo, Sri Lanka, in December 2008, experts from the three countries continued their deliberations in Shanghai.

The conference participants included prominent strategists, military persons, policymakers and academicians from India, China and Pakistan.

Fudan University, Shanghai
8-9 August 2009

I. Welcome and Introductory Remarks   
       
Maj. Gen. Dipankar Banerjee, Director, IPCS
Prof. Shen Dingli, Director, Centre for American Studies, Fudan University
Lt. Gen. Talat Masood, Former Secretary for Defence Production, Ministry of Defence, Pakistan

II. Global Nuclear Strategic Trends

Issues Discussed

I. An assessment of Global Nuclear Trends as seen from respective countries, including
  strategies, doctrines and moves towards disarmament
II. START Prospects
III. CTBT and FMCT: Impending Dialogues and Deliberations
IV: Towards 2010 NPT RevCon
V. The Quartet Proposals, Global Zero and Base Camp

Speakers 

Amb. Cheng Ruisheng, Former Chinese Ambassador to India
Maj. Gen. Pan Zhenqiang, Deputy Chairman, China Foundation for International Studies
Brig. Naeem Salik, Former Director, Arms Control and Disarmament Affairs, Strategic Plans Division, Pakistan
Lt. Gen. Talat Masood, Former Secretary for Defence Production, Ministry of Defence, Pakistan
Air Marshal Vinod Patney, Former Vice Chief of Air Staff, Indian Air Force
Amb. Arundhati Ghose, Former Permanent Representative of India to the UN Conference on Disarmament

III. Towards Asian Nuclear Stability and Security
     
Issues Discussed

I. Assessment of threats and concerns, including from nation states and non-state actors
II. Respective security concerns and doctrines
III. Korean nuclear developments
IV. Iranian nuclear developments
V. Nuclear weapons and terrorism
VI. Nuclear non-proliferation beyond the NPT 

Speakers 

Air Vice Marshal Shahzad Chaudhry, Former Director General of the Air Force Strategic Command
Amb. KC Singh, Former Secretary, Ministry of External Affairs
Rear. Adm. Raja Menon, Former Chairman, Task Force on Net Assessment and Simulation in the National Security Council
Maj. Gen. Zhu Chenghu, Director-General and Professor, Department of Strategic Studies, National Defence University
Prof. Shen Dingli, Director, Centre for American Studies, Fudan University

IV: Asian Security in the context of Global Trends: Cooperation or Conflict?

Issues Discussed


I. Can Asian way be different? – Avoiding Launch on Warning, Tactical Nuclear Weapons, First 
   Strike Doctrines
II. Relevance and role of nuclear weapons to Asian Security
III. Harmonizing doctrines for cooperative security
IV. Developing confidence building measures and dialogues

Speakers

Amb. Salman Haidar, Former Foreign Secretary, India
Air Marshal TM Asthana, Former Commanding-in-Chief, Strategic Forces Command
Amb. Najmuddin Shaikh, Former Foreign Secretary, Pakistan
Amb. Shamshad Ahmad Khan, Former Foreign Secretary, Pakistan
Dr. Liu Xuecheng, Executive Vice President, Centre for China-US Relations, China Institute of International Studies
Prof. Zhao Gancheng, Director, South Asia Studies, Shanghai Institutes for International Studies

V: Steps towards a Secure Global Nuclear Future

Issues Discussed


I. An Asian approach to abolishing nuclear weapons – What is the tipping point?
II. A nuclear weapons free world, in what time frame?
III. Conventional forces reduction?
IV. Evolving dialogue mechanism and policies

Speakers

Each participant presented his/her views

VI: Concluding Session

Prof. Shen Dingli, Director, Centre for American Studies, Fudan University
Lt. Gen. Talat Masood, Former Secretary for Defence Production, Ministry of Defence, Pakistan
Maj. Gen. Dipankar Banerjee, Director, IPCS


 
 
 

The Institute of Peace and Conflict Studies (IPCS) is the premier South Asian think tank which conducts independent research on and provides an in depth analysis of conventional and non-conventional issues related to national and South Asian security including nuclear issues, disarmament, non-proliferation, weapons of mass destruction, the war on terrorism, counter terrorism , strategies security sector reforms, and armed conflict and peace processes in the region.

For those in South Asia and elsewhere, the IPCS website provides a comprehensive analysis of the happenings within India with a special focus on Jammu and Kashmir and Naxalite Violence. Our research promotes greater understanding of India's foreign policy especially India-China relations, India's relations with SAARC countries and South East Asia.

Through close interaction with leading strategic thinkers, former members of the Indian Administrative Service, the Foreign Service and the three wings of the Armed Forces - the Indian Army, Indian Navy, and Indian Air Force, - the academic community as well as the media, the IPCS has contributed considerably to the strategic discourse in India.

 
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