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Early Warning and Conflict Alert - Articles

Articles are short 800-850-word commentaries that provide a more analytical view of issues currently in the news.
 
#5312
28 June 2017
Second 21CPC and Myanmar’s Stuttering Peace Process
Angshuman Choudhury reviews the proceedings and context of the 21CPC meeting in May 2017 and identifies emerging trends in Myanmar's peace process
#5311
28 June 2017
Three Years of the Modi Government
India-Maldives Relations: A Tale of Two Concerns

Dr N Manoharan assesses New Delhi-Malé relations over the past three years and identifies irritants in two areas, political and strategic
#5307
23 June 2017
Seizing ‘The Belt and Road’ Opportunity: Challenges for Nepal
Pramod Jaiswal argues that the Nepal can benefit from the BRI only if it creates a favourable environment by addressing the genuine concerns of both its neighbours
#5301
19 June 2017
Three Years of the Modi Government
India-China Relations: A Mixed Bag

Amb (Retd) TCA Rangachari assesses how India-China relations have developed over the past three years and identifies key trends
#5299
16 June 2017
Evolving Situation in J&K: Summer 2017 (Part II)
Lt Gen (Retd) Syed Ata Hasnain writes why summer 2017 in J&K will be about getting a mix of hard and soft power right, and makes recommendations towards the same
#5298
16 June 2017
Three Years of the Modi Government
Dealing with Left Wing Extremism: No Permanent Solution?

Dr Bibhu Prasad Routray assesses the outcomes of the counter-LWE strategy over the past three years and makes recommendations
#5297
16 June 2017
Responsibility to Protect: Quo Vadis?
John Schabedoth asks if R2P has served its intended purpose in recent conflicts, and explores the future of the concept in the Public International Law domain
#5293
9 June 2017
Three Years of the Modi Government
India-Pakistan: Three Years of Wasted Effort?

Rana Banerji reviews India's relations with Pakistan and related developments and policies over the past three years
#5292
7 June 2017
J&K Focus
Evolving Situation in J&K: Summer 2017 (Part I)

Lt Gen (Retd) Syed Ata Hasnain analyses the changing nature of militancy in Jammu & Kashmir and identifies impending issues that need to be addressed.
#5289
1 June 2017
IPCS Discussion
Maldives: Contextualising Freedom of Speech in the Murder of Yameen Rasheed

Husanjot Chahal reports on the proceedings of the discussion held on 19 May, 2017
#5284
15 May 2017
Dateline Colombo
Steering Co-operation Across Oceans

Asanga Abeyagoonasekera analyses Sri Lanka's role in the world, in the backdrop of the One Belt One Road conference in China
#5282
8 May 2017
India: Missing the Bus on Sustainable Development Goals?
Garima Maheshwari looks at how sustainability has become a burden of technocratic formality rather than a policy-implementable mainstay
#5281
6 May 2017
New Complexities in Myanmar's Peace Process
Angshuman Choudhury assesses the potential implications of the parallel channel of political dialogue created by Ethnic Armed Organisations (EAOs) in Myanmar
#5280
1 May 2017
Red Affairs
Rumour of Triumph

Dr Bibhu Prasad Routray assesses the policy lacunae that adversely impact India's efforts to counter Left Wing Extremism in the country
#5276
27 April 2017
IPCS Discussion
Lok Sabha By-polls: Reading Jammu and Kashmir

Sarral Sharma reports on the proceedings of the discussion held on 18 March 2017
#5271
19 April 2017
West Asia
Obama, Trump, and Abiding Authoritarianism in Egypt

Derek Verbakel asks if there has been a policy shift in the US' approach towards Egypt and assesses the trajectory of Egypt's political situation
#5270
14 April 2017
Evolving External Influence in Jammu and Kashmir (Part II)
Lt Gen (Retd) Syed Ata Hasnain identifies recent developments that might have a bearing on the situation in J&K in the coming months
#5266
12 April 2017
J&K Focus
Evolving External Influence in Jammu and Kashmir (Part I)

Lt Gen (Retd) Syed Ata Hasnain identifies recent developments that might have a bearing on the situation in J&K in the coming months
#5265
11 April 2017
Trump's Strike Against Syria: International Implications
Amb (Retd) KP Fabian assesses the potential implications of US President Donald Trump's missile strike on Syria's Shayrat air base
#5262
10 April 2017
Operation Twilight: A Turning Point in Bangladesh
Angshuman Choudhury traces the evolving nature, capabilities and tactics employed by terrorist outfits in Bangladesh and the security forces' responses to them
#5261
10 April 2017
IPCS Discussion
Diplomacy and the Politics of Language

Derek Verbakel reports on the proceedings of the discussion held on 31 March 2017
#5255
28 March 2017
Manipur: Uncertainty Remains Despite End to the Economic Blockade
Dr Nehginpao Kipgen says that the manner in which the UNC demands are handled and addressed will largely determine the fate of the BJP government in Manipur
#5250
21 March 2017
Dateline Colombo
Re-building Sri Lanka: An Island at a Crossroads

Asanga Abeyagoonasekera writes that there are three potential options Sri Lanka could consider in order to bring credibility and results to the reconciliation process
#5243
16 March 2017
Nepal: Local Body Elections Amid Uncertainty
Pramod Jaiswal assesses the build up to and the prospects of Nepal's upcoming local body elections
#5242
6 March 2017
East Asia Compass
US Tactical Nukes in the Korean Peninsula?

Dr Sandip Kumar Mishra argues that the recent deliberations over redeployment of the US tactical nuclear weapons on the Korean peninsula seem to be an act of over-doing
#5241
6 March 2017
J&K Focus
J&K: A Strategy is What May Still Be Elusive

Lt Gen Syed Ata Hasnain writes that it would be imperative for India to identify key goals and develop an overarching detailed and comprehensive strategy vis-a-vis Jammu and Kashmir
#5240
28 February 2017
The ‘Two-State Solution’ in Israel-Palestine: An Accelerated Demise?
Derek Verbakel explores possible trajectories the Israel-Palestine issue will take with Donald Trump as the US president
#5234
13 February 2017
The Future of US-Taiwan Relations Under China's Shadow
Namrata Hasija argues that the US-Taiwan relationship under Trump remains uncertain in terms of upgradation but certain in terms of continuation.
#5233
9 February 2017
US Exit from the TPP: Opportunities and Alternatives for Japan
Chandrali Sarkar argues that the US' exit from the TPP does not necessarily mean trouble for Japan and that Tokyo has other alternatives it can tap to its benefit
#5232
6 February 2017
East Asia Compass
Forecast 2017: East Asia

Dr Sandip Kumar Mishra identifies phenomena that will become more pronounced in East Asia in 2017
#5231
3 February 2017
Where is Egypt Headed?
Amb (Retd) KP Fabian traces the trajectory of Egypt's political history and asesses the current state-of-affairs
#5230
1 February 2017
South Korea: Two Moons and the Future of a Nation
Dr Rahul Raj provides a preliminary assessment on the two potential presidential candidates in the upcoming presidential election in South Korea
#5229
1 February 2017
IPCS Special Commentary
CPEC: 'Third Party' Dilemma and Cracks in the Corridor

Amit Kumar argues that optimism regarding the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor might be waning, with apprehensions increasingly being voiced in China
#5226
29 January 2017
IPCS Discussion
'Faith, Unity, Discipline: The ISI of Pakistan'

Sarral Sharma reports on the proceedings of the discussion held on 18 January 2017
#5219
6 January 2017
India-Pakistan
Line (Out) of Control?

Joy Mitra argues that risks to general stability in the region remain entrenched in the dynamics of the India-Pakistan conflict and that it could lead to an uncontrollable conflict trajectory
#5213
31 December 2016
J&K Focus
The Ominous Calm is both Good and Bad for J&K

Lt Gen (Retd) Syed Ata Hasnain analyses the calm in Kashmir and makes recommendations for the Army and the civilian administration towards bringing stability to the state
#5210
26 December 2016
Russia’s Search for New Ground in Pakistan
Adarsh Vijay analyses Russia's possible motivations for its increasing engagement with Pakistan
#5204
14 December 2016
China's Belt and Road Initiative: Should India be Concerned?
Dr Anand Kumar discusses how the OBOR Initiative in Pakistan and Bangladesh can be advantageous for India
#5199
5 December 2016
US Policy Orientation
Donald Trump and East Asia

Dr Sandip Mishra examines the details of Trump’s contradictory campaign promises vis-à-vis the East Asian region
#5196
30 November 2016
IPCS Discussion
Equality, Equity, Inclusion: Indian Laws & India’s Women

Niharika Tagotra reports on the proceedings of the discussion held on 11 November 2016
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