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#889, 22 October 2002
 
(W)here Lies the Solution? - Pointers from the Recent Surveys
N Manoharan
Research Officer, IPCS
 

What is the appropriate solution to the Kashmir issue? Is it through militancy or through negotiations? Is it through independence, or enjoying greater autonomy within India, or joining Pakistan? Would trifurcation solve the communal problem? What about the Kashmiri pundits? Would the conversion of LoC into the IB stop cross-border terrorism? Are the two concerned adversaries, India and Pakistan, serious about solving the Kashmir issue?

Given below is the analytical chart of two recent surveys held in Jammu and Kashmir. The two surveys clearly reflect the mood of the people on various facets of the solution to the Kashmir issue. A careful reading of the results of these surveys could be a guide map for pursuit by the next government in J&K.

MORI survey

( 20-28 April 2002)

Asian Age-ACNielsen Opinion Poll

(12-16 September 2002)

Means for solution

Economic development

Elections and dialogue

Autonomy

War

. .

93 %

86 %

55 % wants autonomy to be given to both the Pakistani and the Indian sides of Kashmir.

76 % oppose.

. .

--

--

17 % for greater autonomy.

--

Status of J&K

Independence

With India

With Pakistan

. .

--

61%

6%

. .

25%

49%

1%

Attitude towards militancy

86 % against militancy; 88 % want immediate cessation of cross-border terrorism.

91% oppose the use of violence.

Seriousness of New Delhi in finding a solution

--

63 % believe the Central Government is serious.

Trifurcation of the state

92 % oppose.

Rejected by 87 %.

Conversion of LoC to IB

91 % oppose conversion and want a forum for greater interaction; 70 % support greater interaction between the two Kashmirs.

Minuscule percentage

Pakistan’s genuineness in bringing about peace

66 % feel it is not genuine

79 % do not believe this

Kashmiri pundits

81 % feel their return is vital for retaining the unique cultural identity of Kashmir and in restoring normalcy.

--

Role of Indian security forces

Valley & Leh

Jammu

. .

90 % believe scaling down their presence would bring normalcy

Overwhelming number prefer their presence

.

--

--

 
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Fishing in Troubled Waters: Indian Fishermen and India-Sri Lanka Relations

Alternative Strategies for Indo-Sri Lankan Relations: Passenger Ferry Service

Sri Lanka: UN Panel and Sovereignty Issues

Sri Lanka: One Year after the War, Where is Ethnic Reconciliation?

Sri Lanka: Why Sustain the ‘State of Exception’?

Upcoming Parliamentary Elections and the Future of Sri Lanka

Challenges Before the President

Ghosts of War Haunt Sri Lanka

Sri Lanka: Clash of ‘War Heroes’

Cross-border Nationalism

Where is the “Northern Spring” in Sri Lanka?

Will the LTTE Rise Again?

Post-LTTE Sri Lanka: Demilitarization as a First Step towards Peace

Post-LTTE: India’s Policy Options on Sri Lanka’s Ethnic Issue

Sri Lanka: Cease the Fire and Catch the Peace

Sri Lanka in 2008: A Tale of Two Fires

The LTTE: 'Determined to Fight, but Ready for Peace'

Eelam War IV: Military Strategies of the LTTE

Eelam War IV: Strategy of the Government of Sri Lanka

Fishing in Troubled Waters: Tamil Nadu Fishermen and India-Sri Lanka Relations

Eastern Provincial Council Elections: A First Step Towards Final Settlement?

Local Polls in Batticaloa: How Significant?

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The Institute of Peace and Conflict Studies (IPCS) is the premier South Asian think tank which conducts independent research on and provides an in depth analysis of conventional and non-conventional issues related to national and South Asian security including nuclear issues, disarmament, non-proliferation, weapons of mass destruction, the war on terrorism, counter terrorism , strategies security sector reforms, and armed conflict and peace processes in the region.

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